Learn what forward dividend yield measures, how it differs from trailing
The forward dividend yield measures expected dividend income over the coming year relative to the stock’s current price.
Unlike a trailing dividend yield, which uses dividends already paid, forward dividend yield uses expected or announced future dividends.
A common version is:
expected next-12-month dividends per share / current share price
Because it relies on expected dividends, forward dividend yield can change even if the stock price stays the same, especially when management changes the dividend policy.
Suppose a stock trades at $50 and investors expect it to pay $2.50 in dividends over the next year.
Its forward dividend yield is:
$2.50 / $50 = 5%
If the expected dividend is later cut to $2.00, the forward dividend yield falls to 4% unless the share price also changes.
A shareholder says, “If the trailing dividend yield is 5%, the forward dividend yield must also be 5%.”
Answer: No. Forward yield changes when expected future dividends differ from the dividends paid in the past.